Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000287 0.000321 0.000357 0.000400 0.000448 0.000502 0.000565
2025-01-19 0.000212 0.000258 0.000311 0.000380 0.000465 0.000569 0.000705
2025-01-26 0.000178 0.000230 0.000295 0.000384 0.000503 0.000660 0.000883
2025-02-02 0.000160 0.000217 0.000292 0.000402 0.000558 0.000776 0.001109
2025-02-09 0.000140 0.000197 0.000277 0.000397 0.000579 0.000846 0.001279
2025-02-16 0.000126 0.000184 0.000268 0.000401 0.000610 0.000934 0.001487
2025-02-23 0.000114 0.000171 0.000256 0.000397 0.000628 0.001002 0.001673
2025-03-02 0.000104 0.000161 0.000249 0.000400 0.000656 0.001088 0.001901
2025-03-09 0.000096 0.000152 0.000241 0.000398 0.000676 0.001164 0.002123
2025-03-16 0.000085 0.000138 0.000224 0.000380 0.000665 0.001181 0.002237
2025-03-23 0.000079 0.000132 0.000220 0.000382 0.000689 0.001267 0.002497
2025-03-30 0.000077 0.000130 0.000222 0.000398 0.000741 0.001409 0.002896
2025-04-06 0.000070 0.000121 0.000212 0.000389 0.000746 0.001465 0.003130
2025-04-13 0.000063 0.000111 0.000197 0.000370 0.000729 0.001475 0.003266
2025-04-20 0.000059 0.000106 0.000194 0.000374 0.000759 0.001589 0.003667
2025-04-27 0.000058 0.000106 0.000197 0.000392 0.000820 0.001779 0.004293
2025-05-04 0.000054 0.000100 0.000191 0.000387 0.000832 0.001862 0.004664
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000097 0.000188 0.000391 0.000863 0.001992 0.005189
2025-05-18 0.000048 0.000092 0.000182 0.000387 0.000877 0.002082 0.005624
2025-05-25 0.000045 0.000089 0.000180 0.000390 0.000905 0.002214 0.006209
2025-06-01 0.000043 0.000086 0.000175 0.000389 0.000924 0.002326 0.006762
2025-06-08 0.000039 0.000080 0.000165 0.000371 0.000900 0.002316 0.006932
2025-06-15 0.000038 0.000077 0.000162 0.000373 0.000927 0.002452 0.007609